We have hit some good Vision 2030 milestones but missed key targets

President William Ruto and Treasury CS Njuguna Ndungu during the launch of the 4th Medium Term Plan (2023-2027) at State House, Nairobi. [PCS]

The Bottom-up Economic Transformation Agenda (Beta) has finally crystallised with the launch of the Medium Term Plan (MTP IV) on Thursday. While this is a critical document for the country in the next five years, its publicity may be crowded out by the noise around signing and coming into effect of the Affordable Housing Act 2023 and the proposal to regularise the Chief Administrative Secretaries by Parliament.

Given the economic significance of the plan, in today's article I shall highlight the big numbers of the last 15 years and the projections of MTP IV. This will be the last five-year plan before the 25-year Vision 2030 economic blueprint comes to a close. In my view, after 2027 we must undertake a comprehensive impact evaluation of the Vision, properly document its outcomes and impacts (not outputs), lessons learned and re-cast a 75-year master plan for the country towards 2100. Responsible governments and prosperous societies plan outside political cycles and individual political leaders.

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