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Indicators that show which party might win presidential election

It is undisputed that tomorrow’s poll is going to be one of the toughest in  Kenya’s political history. Like previous elections, it is going to be a two-horse race with several donkeys stabilising the contest. The two horses will be Jubilee and National Super Alliance (NASA) while the donkeys will be several minority parties.

If history is anything to go by, Jubilee stands a good chance of winning. Let us analyse the polls history since 1992 to-date. In 1992, there were two main contenders; Daniel arap Moi and Kenneth Matiba. Moi triumphed over Matiba.

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