Does Baba ever learn?; He keeps on repeating the same mistakes

Remember the story of tortoise and birds that went to a party in the sky? The tortoise manipulated birds in changing his name to fit his selfish interest, in the end, the tortoise was stripped off feathers and left to fall.
There is one man whom I respect, he is the father of democracy, the champion of change, and Kenyan politics circulate around him. He has been detained, exiled, loved by many. He is the former prime minister Rt. Hon Raila Odinga. He is believed to be the best president Kenya has never had. Personally, he claims that he has won election twice and both denied.
 

If he ever won any election why has he never occupied the house in the hill? Is he feared by many especially the elite, hence work overtime to stop him? Though loved by many, what has kept him from getting close to where he has always fought fiercely?