The Great Russian psychologist Ivan Pavlov is famous for his research on conditioning and one such experiment was the one on "conditioned reflex”. The experiment involved the researcher ringing a bell whenever he would feed his dogs. It was later noted that the dogs would be salivating even in the absence of food because at all times they associated the ringing of the bell with food.
The 2017 elections bells are already ringing and the Kenyan political class is doing what they are best known for, clustering along tribal, social and strangely economic class. Their calculations are so amusing that one would be led into believing that they have the prophetic ability to tell what will happen in the next 20 years.