Dollar surges as virus roils global equities
By Reuters | March 24th 2020
The dollar rose against major currencies yesterday as fresh declines in global stocks and worries about tightening liquidity amid the worsening coronavirus crisis accelerated the flight to cash.
The dollar rose against sterling toward its strongest since at least 1985. The US currency hit the highest in almost three years against the euro.
Against the antipodeans, the greenback rose toward a 17-year high against the Australian dollar and approached an 11-year peak against the New Zealand dollar as investors dumped riskier assets.
US stock futures and oil prices came under further pressure early in Asian trading, which pushed the dollar higher as more people are placed under lockdown in an effort to contain the virus, traders said.
Investors are also hoping for big fiscal spending to mitigate the damage to the global economy, but uncertainty about the spread of the virus is likely to support the dollar in the future.
“We’ve moved from risk off to a phase where major players are competing with each other for the safety of holding dollars in cash,” said Yukio Ishizuki, FX strategist at Daiwa Securities in Tokyo.
“There are still a lot of investors who need to sell riskier assets, and they want to hold their money in dollars.”
The dollar rose 0.96 per cent against the pound to USD1.1559, approaching the strongest since at least 1985.
The dollar gained 0.33 per cent to $1.0360, the strongest since April 2017.
The greenback closed in on multi-year highs against the Australian and New Zealand dollars.
Against the yen, the currency rose 0.11 per cent to 110.92.
Investors have been liquidating positions in safe-havens and other riskier investments to keep their money in dollars due to the uncertainty caused by the epidemic.
Major central banks have ramped up efforts to ease a global dollar funding crunch, but the US currency remains in demand due to the high degree of uncertainty about the unknown flu-like virus.
The dollar has also surged against many emerging market currencies, highlighting the growing sense of risk aversion across the globe.
Early in Asian trading, the dollar rose to a record high against the Mexican peso.
So far this year the dollar is up 26 per cent against Brazil’s real, up around eight per cent against the Korean won and up 15 per cent against the Indonesian rupiah.
Republicans and Democrats in the US Senate are trying to complete a deal on a $1 trillion-plus bill aimed at stemming the coronavirus pandemic’s economic fallout for workers, industries and small businesses.
But there was no sign of an overarching deal between negotiators, despite Republicans’ claims of bipartisan agreement on specific issues including unemployment insurance and small business assistance.
Nearly one in three Americans were ordered to stay home on Sunday to slow the spread of the disease, while Italy banned internal travel as deaths there reached 5,476.
US President Donald Trump has approved disaster deceleration requests from New York and Washington, while St. Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard warned unemployment could reach 30 per cent unless more was done fiscally.
Global markets have been upended in recent weeks as the coronavirus spread from China and governments responded with increasingly strict restrictions on travel and daily life, disrupting businesses and prompting consumers to stay at home and rein in spending.
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