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Why we are unlikely to have a re-run in the 2017 poll

Last week Infotrack released an opinion poll that suggested that if polls were held today, president Kenyatta would lead with 48% of the vote, followed by NASA flag bearer Raila Odinga at 43%.

Many people have suggested that this suggests a likelihood of a runoff. From a statistical point of view that chance is extremely slim. Here is why.

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