Deputy President William Ruto's arrogance is his greatest undoing

If all things remain equal Deputy President William Ruto will be in State house at some point in 2022. In fact, Deputy President Ruto already has one foot inside the State House if we have to believe his pact with President Uhuru Kenyatta. However, due to his arrogant ambition and tendency of insulting other leaders, Ruto risks being the architect of his own downfall.

Ruto is behaving as though he has got the presidency in his pocket yet what he forgets is that politics is a game of numbers. He needs to realize that his friendship alone with President Uhuru will not by any means guarantee his victory during the 2022 presidential elections. To help him understand this he needs to step back and listen to the murmurs in the Rift Valley. The government wing of President Uhuru will not say openly but its good news to them when there are several centres of power in Rutos backyard. These centres of power led by Gideon Moi and Isaac Rutto serve two major purposes both to the advantage of the Jubilee wing of the President. One is to ensure that Uhuru Kenyatta still has grip on the rich Rift Valley vote. In case there is a fallout with Deputy President, Gideon Moi will be approached instantly to fill the gap. Secondly, for as long as there are disgruntled voices in the Rift Valley with the ability to dissuade sizeable number of voters, Ruto will lose his bargaining power. His opponents from within Rift Valley will begin building alliances with other regions and this may portray Ruto as a politician who has lost grip on the electorate. It’s most likely at this point politicians from Uhuru’s backyard will begin to backtrack and they are likely to prop up one of their own come 2022.