Opinion: Why Jubilee has an upper head to win the Presidential contest

Kenya offers a good study of what politics is able to achieve in a modern state both in a disruptive positive changing dispensation and what it can mess up. Our political journey since independence has rather been checkered. Nonetheless, we have remained hopeful and risen when down by whatever political episode. Obviously the future is always unpredictable and must always put the best mechanism in place to secure it. The context by which Jubilee party has evolved would not only be within the framework of forming a strong party (though necessarily in a tribally divided nation) but also with the next general election in mind.

Political parties contest to win and good ones develop the best strategies possible to have an upper hand in the election. Jubilee Party surely has a head start. CORD despite the big following that they still have is in a dicey situation brought about by the contentious issue of their presidential flag bearer. I would not want to rule out CORD succeeding in the election as there is still time, but at the moment Jubilee certainly has an upper head to win the Presidential contest. The other seats have a lot of dynamics to be wary about. This is informed by the fluidity of the nominations particularly where in several regions the stronger party will have so many contesters for whatever political seat. The fallouts will still occur notwithstanding the new law barring party hopping. The law is good in my view. If you choose to contest in a particularly parity it means you adhere to its principles, ideals and ideology if any. It means you subscribe to the party agenda and therefore the law is timely and good to ensure you stick to what you have agreed to believe in.