Comparisons have been drawn between Malawi’s recently concluded presidential election and Kenya’s upcoming poll, scheduled for August 2027. Some analysts argue that Malawi’s outcome foreshadows potential electoral defeat for Kenya’s incumbent president, who is seeking a second term. They liken his situation to that of other African leaders who have lost re-election bids after serving only one term, suggesting a growing continental trend toward rejecting incumbents. But is this truly the case?
Malawi’s outgoing president Lazarus Chakwera shares notable parallels with President William Ruto. Both leaders secured electoral victories – Chakwera in 2020 – on the strength of ambitious campaign promises. Chakwera pledged to revive a struggling economy, create employment opportunities with a particular focus on youth and ensure access to affordable fertiliser to support Malawi’s predominantly agrarian economy. He also committed to advancing infrastructure through digital reforms, social programmes, presenting these initiatives as part of a broader, long-term vision for national progress.