Trump's military adventurism poses threat to global peace and order

A supporter of ousted Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro holds a banner during a demonstration as they watch a session of the National Assembly on a big screen in Maracaibo, Venezuela, on January 5, 2026. [AFP]

Daniel Ellsberg’s ‘Madman theory’ postulates that a leader considered unpredictable by peers can gain an advantage in coercive bargaining by simply making his or her threats appear believable.