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Kenya loses Sh160b in illicit cash flows

By Paul Wafula | Sep 15th 2015 | 3 min read
By Paul Wafula | September 15th 2015

NAIROBI: Kenya lost more than Sh160 billion in illicit finance flows in the eight years to 2011, a new report has shown.

A report of the high level panel on illicit financial flows from Africa suggests that Kenya lost the billions between 2002 and 2011 to trade misinvoicing.

“The role of illicit finance flows and their adverse effect on the country’s (Kenya’s) GDP cannot be ignored,” the report to be launched today by former South African President Thabo Mbeki notes in its brief on Kenya.


The report was commissioned by the Economic Commission for Africa Conference of African Ministers of Finance, Planning and Economic Development.

“Our panel is convinced that Africa’s retention of the capital that is generated on the continent and should legitimately be retained in Africa must be an important part of the resources to finance the post-2015 development agenda,” Mr Mbeki says in his comments in the report. He was the chairperson of the panel.

The report corroborates an earlier study by the Danish government that found Kenya’s tax loss from trade misinvoicing by multinational corporations and other parties could be as high as 8.3 per cent of Government revenue, hampering economic growth and resulting in billions in lost tax revenue.

The report notes that over the last 50 years, Africa is estimated to have lost in excess of $1 trillion (Sh105 trillion) in illicit financial flows (IFFs).

“This sum is roughly equivalent to all of the official development assistance received by Africa during the same time frame,” the report says.

It is estimated that, at the moment, the continent is losing more than Sh5.2 trillion ($50 billion) annually in illicit finance flows.

According to the report, these estimates may well fall short of reality because accurate data does not exist for all African countries, and these estimates often exclude some forms of in illicit finance flows that by nature are secret, such as proceeds of bribery and trafficking of drugs, people and firearms.


The top 10 African countries by cumulative IFFs are Ethiopia, Nigeria, Egypt, South Africa, Morocco and Angola. The others are Algeria, Cote d’Ivoire, Sudan and Congo. These countries account for 79 per cent of total flows from Africa.

The report shows the great significance of IFFs from oil-exporting countries dominated by the North African and West African regions.

Nigeria accounts for the largest share of the illicit flows for West Africa (79 per cent), whereas Egypt and Algeria account for 66 per cent of the flows from North Africa.

Non-oil-exporting countries such as South Africa, Morocco, Côte d’Ivoire and Ethiopia also register significant levels of illicit finance flows for 1970–2008.

In his argument to support the eradication of the flows, Mbeki says there exists a very significant and practical possibility to change the balance between the volumes of domestic and foreign capital required for sustained African development.

“The radical reduction of illicit capital outflows from Africa, short of ending them, is precisely the outcome Africa and the rest of the world must achieve to attain this balance,” Mbeki says.

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