Why CBK has cut key rate ahead of festive season
Business
By
Brian Ngugi
| Dec 10, 2025
The Central Bank of Kenya (CBK) has cut its benchmark lending rate in a move aimed at stimulating credit to businesses and households ahead of the crucial Christmas spending period later this month, while betting that inflation will remain subdued.
The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) lowered the Central Bank Rate (CBR) by 25 basis points to 9.00 per cent from 9.25 per cent at its last meeting of the year, marking a continuation of its easing cycle designed to support economic growth.
“The committee concluded that there was scope for a further easing of the monetary policy stance,” said Central Bank Governor and MPC Chairman Kamau Thugge in a statement.
“This will augment the previous policy actions aimed at stimulating lending by banks to the private sector and supporting economic activity.”
The decision aligns with the regulator’s goal of fostering credit growth during the festive quarter, a time of historically high consumer spending.
READ MORE
While Rwanda charts a clear path forward, Kenya is getting it all wrong
Experts slam 'temporary fixes' to Kenya's Sh12.6tr debt
1,100 face job losses as Meta severs ties with Kenyan content moderator
Lawyer: Move to reduce VAT to 8 per cent by Treasury unconstitutional though a relief to Kenyans
State's appetite for domestic debt to grow with fuel VAT cut
Stocks rise as optimism over Mideast war takes hold
New 2030 plan targets billions in financing for farmers and MSMEs
Three Kenyan startups picked for Africa eye health accelerator
Maina named Vision 2030 acting director
Kenyan firms eye Caribbean footprint as Afreximbank seals St Kitts trade forum deal
Data showed private sector credit growth improved to 6.3 per cent year-on-year in November, a significant recovery from a contraction of 2.9 per cent in January.
Core inflation
Despite the gloomy short-term outlook, a majority of firms expect business activity to pick up in the fourth quarter, pinning their hopes on seasonal demand linked to Christmas.
The Christmas holiday is marked by large family gatherings, travel, and gift-giving, typically driving a surge in spending on consumer goods, hospitality, and services. Average commercial lending rates have fallen to 14.9 per cent from 17.2 per cent a year ago.
The rate cut was underpinned by a benign inflation outlook. Overall inflation stood at 4.5 per cent in November, comfortably within the government’s 5±2.5 per cent target band.
Core inflation, which strips out volatile food and fuel prices, fell to 2.3 per cent.
“The stable macroeconomic environment with low inflation and stable exchange rate, [and] declining interest rates,” were cited as reasons for sustained business optimism in recent surveys, the MPC noted.
The economy, Thugge said, has shown resilience, with growth averaging 4.9 per cent in the first half of 2025.