The real estate sector continues to experience rise in non-performing loans (NPLs), according to Central Bank of Kenya reports. In fact it had the highest NPLs in the first quarter of this year. This has inclined some pundits to believe that it could signal the culmination of the near decade boom. I disagree. Financial lending institutions have tightened money tap to this sector and the government appetite for domestic borrowing hasn’t made it any easier. Coupled with the tangling building collapse and the new kid – demolitions, this sector is limping.
While I acknowledge that the real estate and construction sector has had dismal growth, if any, in the last three years and could justify the rise in NPLs, a good percentage of real estate NPLs I reckon are as a result of the lackluster approach that banks have when scrutinising projects for financing and even during construction. It borders on indolence.
Over my practice years, I have come across projects financed by banks with glaring mistakes that ordinarily would be dismissed forthwith. In one case, the contract bill of quantities was front loaded with nearly fifty percent of the contract amount in the substructure work only, the contractor having made his money walked out of the project leaving the developer and bank with balance amount impossible to complete the project. In other cases, developers have hoodwinked banks with cooked project feasibilities or even some scenarios where monthly payments are overvalued without bank notice. These are a clear pointer on the need of the banking institutions to change tack if real estate financing is still their target.
Here is what they must do. Unlike a decade ago, the banks must be wary of emerging real estate challenges before financing a project. Time and cost overrun on projects is proving to be the new normal in this industry. In addition, due to our country’s ethics deficit, the respect for numbers in feasibilities is out through the window and a lot of numbers cooking is taking place. There is also the threat of overvaluing project progress payments or even diverting payment made for a specific project on to another, not to forget irregular construction approvals. In the wake of all these, it is clear that banks need properly trained construction experts to thoroughly review projects before financing. For instance, most foreign financial institutions seeking or already financing real estate projects in Kenya insist on appointing their own project managers. It is a pre-condition for financing.
Gone are the days when a bank would finance a project without having an eye on it and hope that all will just go well. The value addition of a project manager to oversee projects and protect the bank’s interest is long overdue in the banking institutions. If it is expensive to have one on their payroll, why don’t they insist that a client must have one, vetted by them, as part of their consulting team? Think of the expertise a quantity surveyor would bring into a bank real estate lending department, it will definitely eliminate costing mistakes. There are stalled projects by banks across this city on change of scope grounds due to substructure soil condition issues. I fail to understand why banks haven’t made soil geotechnical report as part of project financing pre-condition document. Isn’t it obvious in today’s age with the constant attempt to cover up soil condition issues by unscrupulous land dealers?
READ MORE
Why banks are eying more auctions on loan defaulters
Dubai, United Arab Emirates, March 2018 - Aerial view of Dubai Frame
From lending to loan repayment history, bank CEO's call for SME governance reforms
There may be reasons why real estate sector continues to have rising NPLs, and rightfully so. However, I believe there is consensus that our banks must rise to eliminate real estate projects designed, consciously or not, to fail in loan payment. With nearly 7 per cent GDP contribution, the banking sector cannot wish away real estate sector financing due to these bedeviling challenges. They must do the obvious; change strategy.
- The writer is chairman of Association of Construction Managers of Kenya (nashon.okowa@gmail.com)