Here's why Jubilee must bow to Raila's wishes

When you read about countries such as Brazil and Russia, you realize how important Raila Odinga is to the country and East Africa. Kenya is in a worse off state than these countries were before their markets collapsed.

Given the current 55% of public debt to GDP, $7 billion foreign reserves (only 4.7 months import cover), chronic government spending, 9.3% budget deficit (although the Treasury keeps insisting it's 6.9%) and we have no unique on-demand substantial export. It is just a matter of time for someone/something to trigger an economic crisis. 

In 1999, Brazil's economy collapsed with just 46% of public debt to GDP, and by 1998 it was running an annual deficit of 7% to GDP. Mind you the country was heading into a general election in 1998.

Assuming hell breaks lose on January 4th since Nkaissery must please his masters and Jubilee is hell-bent on passing the Electoral Reform law. The economy will stall for a couple of weeks as police and CORD wreck the capital.

Combined with an impending election in just seven months away; every unimaginable condition will be there to chase investors from the country. The resulting capital flight will be too big to be balanced by the $7 billion foreign reserves. Ultimately, the shilling will be devalued and more jobs will be lost plus a series of chain reactions to the rest of East African countries. 

I think Kenyans should be kissing Raila's feet right now. The immense power he has is enough to bring this country down to her feet. Meanwhile, keep a dollar account.