Nairobi gubernatorial latest opinion polls reveal that Kidero and Sonko are leading. It is alleged that Kidero is a key stakeholder in a local newspaper and radio station which conducted the poll. If this is true, then this casts doubt on the objectivity of these findings.
However, that's immaterial because the best way to refute any research results is by replicating it. So, assuming the findings are objective and all the other basics of research were followed, then the following discussion may suffice; Kidero could be on his way home. At 26 percent as an incumbent with the Cord ticket in his pocket that percentage is paltry. Perhaps the score is a confirmation of his dismal performance at City Hall. Surprisingly, Sakaja scored a whopping 10 percent.
It is doubtful if he shall sustain this rating for long because Nairobi is vast and tribal yet his pockets are shallow and he is a minority. The most interesting revelation of this opinion poll is that after three years of continuous campaigns, fundraisings and photo posturing on the front row with powers that are, Waweru only managed 5 percent. This performance reveals that he could be a weak candidate. But most importantly, Central Kenya is at crossroads; to make a choice between the Presidency and the Nairobi gubernatorial seat. The two positions are mutually exclusive.
Conversely, a mere mention of Eugene's name as a potential candidate for the first time in a church in Kiambu County on Sunday earned him one percent-two days later. It is therefore likely that in the coming months, it shall be a three horse race (Kidero, Sonko and Wamalwa) before quickly turning into a two horse one, subject to the strategic moves each of the three makes. Enjoy the weekend.
