A little bird says anxiety is high in Orange Democratic Movement and Party of National Unity because of two developments linked to The Hague ruling on Monday. ODM sees the move by Government to resuscitate 5,000 post-election violence files as an attempt by PNU to frustrate their party leader from running in coming presidential election just as may happen to the man perceived to be Kibaki’s preferred successor. They say it is a revenge mission, period. Watch this space: the rickety coalition is about to sway in the winds again.
Side by side with that are fears in PNU that Eldoret North MP William Ruto will realise the evidence behind his confirmation by The Hague might not have came from Mr Raila Odinga after all, as they always claim, but from Government and PNU sympathisers. PNU top brass fear Ruto will desert them yet they need the votes he brings. They don’t expect him to embrace the PM but believe he won’t be coming their way, which complicates their arithmetic for the General Election.
Kenyans are captivated Government theatrics over calls for Deputy Prime Minister Uhuru Kenyatta and Mr Francis Muthaura to step aside until cleared by the ICC, especially now that the AG says the appeal (which has not even been filed and so does not exist in law) is completed. If this isn’t double standards then nothing is: Ruto was suspended from Cabinet by President and Mr Henry Kosgey left voluntarily because they had cases in court. What happened to Kibaki’s assurance last year that Mutharua and Uhuru would have to go if the charges against them were confirmed?
Meanwhile, the ICC drama obscured two interesting developments -— the ongoing African Nations Cup and the Kibaki receiving an honorary law degree by Makerere University on Tuesday. With the myriad interpretations of the ruling, the President joins the league of ‘learned’ friends at just the right time.
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Mr Henry Kosgey’s speech on Tuesday on his relief that ICC dropped charges against him did not include a mention of whether he will remain in ODM or join Ruto’s United Republican Party. Clearly, despite the heavy escort he got from ODM damu bigwigs, he is playing his cards very close to his chest.